This research analyzes the tripartite conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran through the theoretical frameworks of Endogenous Power and the Structural Theory of Conflict. Following the coordinated airstrikes on Iranian strategic targets on February 28, 2026, this study moves beyond official justifications of nuclear non-proliferation to examine the internal domestic dynamics driving open confrontation. The central research question explores how shifting endogenous power centers—specifically the economic entrenchment of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the rise of U.S. MAGA-driven isolationism—restructure the «permanent conflict» model and create a structural vacuum for transnational elite-led diplomacy.

The study has two primary objectives: first, to analyze how internal crises within both nations have fundamentally altered the international structure, transforming the conflict from a traditional state-to-state «chess match» into a collision of domestic interests; and second, to examine the resulting structural openings for non-traditional diplomatic channels. By applying Endogenous Power theory, the paper demonstrates how the IRGC utilizes conflict to maintain security-based economic monopolies, while the «America First» movement views such entanglements as a drain on domestic resources, despite being the political engine behind current military campaigns. Using the Structural Theory of Conflict, the research illustrates how the unequal distribution of status and power among these groups creates systemic tension. The study concludes that the IRGC and the MAGA movement represent polarized centers of gravity; though both employ populist rhetoric, their internal strategic requirements lock them into a cycle of direct military and political confrontation.